Jagoinvestor
March 5, 2009
Magic of SIP in Mutual Funds , Part 2
Some days back I had talked about SIP and its characteristics using some examples , you can read it here . Today we will take that forward and see other important things related to Systematic Investment Plan.
So , We have that same last example where 1,00,000 was invested over 2 years using Systematic Investment Plan and without SIP in UNITECH. Can we measure how good our investment is at any point of time . For that I developed a simple indicator called IV ratio which is very simple , Its just the ratio of Your total investment divided by its current Value at any given point .
IV ratio = Current Value / Investment
So if your investment = 10k , has current value of 8k , IV ratio = .8 , If current value is 15k , IV ratio = 1.5
I have plotted a graph of IV ratio in two cases of SIP and NON-SIP . You can clearly see in the graph that , IV ratio for Systematic Investment Plan was always more than non-SIP mode.
At first , IV ration was declining for both mode, which is fine, because of falling markets, but still For Systematic Investment Plan it was high, which means, that you get better returns. Then in last part, when markets were volatile, IV ratio for non-SIP was stable, but for SIP it went up, which means that SIP was giving better returns at this point.
Finally Systematic Investment Plan mode generated worth of around 42k (IV = .42) and Non-SIP gave around 9k ( IV = .09)
Conclusion :
IV ratio is a simple tool to measure the performance of your investment. You can also use it to compare two different Investments mode over a period of time.
Now, let us see some other things in regard to Systematic Investment Plan. I have plotted the graph for IV ratio of SIP, and the investment value itself scaled down to 1. Blue line is the actual growth of investment and RED line is the IV ratio.
Some of the things to Notice here are
1. In the start (till 17-18) Investment was going up, but IV ratio was falling, which indicates Growth in value mainly because of your Monthly inflow in SIP, that means the markets are falling and eroding your investment, but the decrease in value is less than your monthly addition which you make.
2. From 18 payment onwards, you investment and IV ratio both are falling, which means that markets are falling at very high rate and your monthly contributions are smaller than the decrease in your portfolio.
3. from 31st payment onwards, you can see that IV ratio and your investment were going up, which means volatile and sideways market or small upside correction on up side.
At last, you can see that both the value converge to same value of .42, which is your IV ratio and your actual investment value, Because at this point total investment is 1,00,000.
Conclusion
IV ratio is the measure of how well your investment is doing in a given market, If its higher than yours friend, you can feel better because your have lost less for your investments. SIP results in higher IV ratio in markets which are not going up too fast.
Which means apart from fast moving markets on upside it makes sense to invest through SIP only. It protects you from volatility, develops from discipline, and your are more satisfied mentally.
Hi Manish,
Recently I read couple of articles yours, great thought and imagination in all your analysis .. big financial institutions.. don’t think the way you are articulating. keep it up, I am subscribing too 🙂
In context of article, need to ask your view, as hell lot of mutual funds are in market, can we take IV ratio as benchmark for selection of fund ( I personally do not like ratings), if yes what should be period of consideration for decent comparison
This topic is a bit old now . I suggest looking at ratings of various agencies to filter out the BAD funds. Then some criteria to choose good funds. I will publish an article on what parameters you can look at
Hi Manish,
I am investing in SIP since 1 & 1/2 yr and my portfolio are.
FRANKLIN INDIA BLUECHIP FUND (G) Rs 1000 PM
UTI OPPERTUNITIES FUND (G) Rs 2000 PM
ICICI FOCUSED BLUECHIP EQUITY REGULAR PLAN (G) Rs 2000 PM
HDFC TOP 200 (G) Rs 3000 PM.
Please advise whether I should add anything more or any reorientation is needed.
Thanks
Kahnu
This seems good to me .
Hi Manish,
Its very interesting to read your articles as it is not biased and help to understand the financial stuffs easily. Currently I am reading you book (ordered from flipkart and surprised to see the book in my hand very next day after I ordered:-)). I am planning to go for SIP for my child ( 8 months old). As per my friend suggestion like to go for HDFC Children Gift fund (rather than HDFC top 200 or HDFC Equity). My question is
– Is it actually a SIP mode of investment?
– Is this product good to go for 18 years of period with 5k investment every month (Equity Oriented I plan to go for)? As it has free term insurance I doubt whether my money will again consumed for term insurance (I already have term Insurance).
– Is there any other good SIP product you may suggest
RBR
If you choose to take HDFC Young Star, you can choose the monthly premium mode, however note that its a ULIP and not a mutual fund. You should be clear about the charges in those ULIP and see if you are ok with it .
We generally suggest mutual funds only for long term wealth creation.
Thanks Manish. But the HDFC financial planner advised that in mutual fund, there are allocation charges on the investment I make. But in ULIP there are only allocation charge on premium and no allocation charge after 6th year (fund management charges). Can you please help me out – whats the actually benefit in going for mutual fund rather than ULIP?
dear Manish,
from what i read in all the above materials, my understanding is this.please tell me if i am right/wrong.
I f i invest in mf through sip monthly and sell everything[redeem is the word ,right?] after 3 years,then the money i invested at start will do business for 36 months,money invested at 24 months do business for 12 months and money invested at 35 months is exposed to market only for 1 month and so on..right?
… which means total money at end of 3 years if lumpsum deposit at is made initially will be definitely much higher at end of 3 years if markets rise…. and the return for money deposited through sip will be comparitively lower at end of 3 years …right?
And if markets slump,then sip and lumpsum make losses,but loses of sip will be lower than lumpsum due to lower exposure time in falling markets….is my understanding currect sir?…thanks
Binu
Yes .. you got it 100% correct
Hi Manish,
Thank you veru much. I will try to control my self.
Siva
Hi Manish,
I started SIP in Nov2011 and SIP date is 7th of every month in Funds India.com
But I paused the SIP and I myself purchased through Additional Investment instead of SIP. Because, I do not know what will be market on 7th of every month, and so I observe the market and purchase when the market is down.
Is it right way? Or I have to continue the SIP on same date irrespective of the market. Please advice.
Thank You
R Siva Prasad
Siva
Better do not time the market at so micro level .. for 1 month its fine , but for all the months , its tough .. you never know which will be the top or low point , you will keep on doing analysis and foget to take action . better keep doing SIP and not disturb it
Manish
Hi Manish,
I have few queries regarding investment in MF (except ELSS) through SIP :
1. While starting SIP with any scheme do we have to specify the horizon (i.e. No. of years) of investment?
2. If I am not wrong different MF schemes comes with different lock in period.
3. Let say If I start SIP in one MF scheme for 3 years time period : Jan-2008 to Dec-2010 (36 installments). When should I redeem my investment so that
I don’t hvae to pay any tax on earned amount. For example, If I have invested Rs.36,000 (Rs. 1000 per month) till December-2010.
The value of the investments are:
Jan-2011 : 38000
May-2011 : 37000
Dec-2011 : 38500
Jan-2012 : 39000
How much tax I would have to pay if I redeem my investment at any time mentioned above?
Thanks In Advance. 🙂
Regards,
Pritesh
Pritesh
1. Yes , you have to specify the tenure , but you can stop the SIP anytime ,, there is no compulsion that you have to pay for that much tenure
2. Not all .. all the tax saving funds have 3 yrs of lock in , other wise almost all the funds are open ended , which means you can sell them anytime
3. After 1 yr your dont pay any tax on profit , before that you pay 15% on profits . now do the maths
Manish
Hi Manish
Can you suggest me good MF fund for long term (with 80C).
Amount: 4k per month.
Thanks & Regards
Kharabela
Kharabela
HDFC tax saver is a very good option and a long term Hero
Manish
Hi Manish,
I read your article on P/E ratio and how to get benefited by it. ‘Frankline dynamic PE ratio fund of fund’ follows the same philosophy as you have mentioned but its return is not better than diversified mutual fund. In fact, even balance fund like ‘HDFC Prudence fund’ has not only performed better than this but has protected downside also better than this. If a SIP in a good diversified fund or in a balance fund like ‘HDFC Prudence fund’ can give better performance, then why to take extra pain and devote extra time in monitoring Nifty PE and acting according to it. On paper, the philosophy mentioned by you looks good but it has not given better return even after taking extra time and effort. Pl. explain this.
Thanks and regards.
SK Sharma
Mumbai.
SK Sharma
You dont know how often the fund manager is buying selling based on PE , if he is selling at PE going at 25 and then buying at PE 20 , It will not work
See this comment which shows how you can achieve even more superior results : http://jagoinvestor.dev.diginnovators.site/2009/06/value-investing-by-using-nifty-pe.html#comment-2657
PS : Please ask questions at relevent articles comments section , This was mainly a PE question and should have been asked into that thread. Not this one .
Manish
thanks 4 this goooooooood suggestion.
gooooooooooooooooood suggestion for concious investors. it has helped me for SIPinvestment& cleared abt sip.
Great to hear that 🙂 , Keep coming
Manish
Suggest me some high return high risk fun which i can enter thro SIP for 2-3 years.
Amount: 1k/month
Risk apetite: High
Well, my next question doesnt fit here, but is it better to posess gold coins/biscuits from market or better to enter Gold ETF(where i wont have it physically)?
sweta
For mutual funds you should read the current article : http://jagoinvestor.dev.diginnovators.site/2010/08/list-of-best-equity-diversified-mutual-funds-for-2010.html
Regarding Gold , it depends what you want, if you want emotional feeling of possesing gold then buy biscuits , if you want it for pure investment and grwoth , then ETF would be better
Manish
IV ratio does not consider the investment period. So it cannot be used to compare the two investments.
The only right way is CAGR. Period.
Anand
Why ? While comparing two things , it definately compares them along with time frame. At any point IV ratio of one investment is compared to IV ratio of another taking into consideration the same time frame .
Manish
[…] like to invest Rs 5,000 – 7,000 a month through SIP to build a corpus for my child’s education in 20 yrs from now. I think I will need around 20 lakh (which will […]
[…] looks at the NAV to find out if you are in profit or loss , then you are not doing right thing . Mutual funds investing is very much close to Share investing where you track the instrument , see how its performing , […]
[…] Read continuation Part 2 of this post here […]
Hi Manish,
Can you suggest me good MF fund for short term (1 to 2 years) (without 80c) , I feel dividend option would be suitable. but can you suggest me some MF please.
After reading all your article I know you hate this part but still asking 🙂
I might go with 5K per month with SIP for period of 3 years ( but would stop after 6 month if some other needy/greedy thing comes). I will surely check value search before I make decision.. 🙂
Thank you,
Balbir
Balbir
Not sure what is your risk appetite . For short term I cant suggest Risk funds . What is your return target ? if its 9-10% , better look for debt oriented funds .
If you wish more than 20% in short term and can take risk , go for equity funds . see the list on one of the posts .
manish
Manish
Thanks for these lovely articles on SIPs. I am very new to MFs and am planning to start by conservatively investing in either DSPBR Top 100 (G) or HDFC Top 200 (G) via SIP of 1000 / mth. One query that I have about SIPs is that, say, I commit to pay 1000 per month initially for a period of 7 years.
1. Can I stop paying the SIPs at a certain stage ? What happens then of my existing investment. Am I compelled to withdraw or will I continue with the existing share I have in the MF
2. Can I increase or decrease (subject to minimum SIP installment) the installments at any stage within the period.
Thanks again for keeping us enlightened on the fundas of investing.
@Syler
Your Fund choices are good . Make sure you also understand that these equity funds and they are bound to go down if markets crash .
1. SIP is for minimum of 6 months (excluding first payment by cheque) . After that you can stop the payments . No issues . So you can take for 2 yrs or 10 yrs , but stop anytime after 6 payments .
2. No you can not increase or decrease the amount ,There are certain MF who allow this , but in general answer is NO !! .
Manish
Hi Manish,
I am a newbie in MF. Regarding the first question “What happens then of my existing investment. Am I compelled to withdraw or will I continue with the existing share I have in the MF”, please elaborate!
I am reading your articles, it is very informative. Good work!
Thanks,
Manju
Manju
You can see my reply where i said that ” You can continue keeping your investments in MF even if you have stopped paying the money”
Manish
@Raghu
I just glanced through the CSIP , it looks ok .
But still nothing in this world can beat a carefully choosen Term insurance + Term
Also insurance is capped at 20 lacs in CSIP . What is your insurance requirement ?
I would prefer Term + SIP in mutual funds . nothing beats it .
Manish
hi manish
how it is plan of Century SIP offered BY BirlaSunlife
which one is better eiteher term insurance or CSIP ?
assume sum assure is 50 lacs
if term insurance 15 k per annum
in CSIP 48 k per annum will give 40 lcas sum assured
but in Term assuarnce , money wont get back any.
in CSIP amount of Fund value + Life insuarance will get
please tell me is it correct ?
—
Raghu